Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Barzal 41.4% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 72.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 69.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 73.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Roslovic
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Roslovic
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
40.4% (463)
+12.1%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
34.2% (38)
+18.7%
On power play, Roslovic has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
49.6% (119)
38.1% (244)
Away
55.9% (102)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
53.2%
46.6%
P2
53.2%
35.7%
P3
51.9%
37.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |