Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Barzal 39.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 59.5%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 59.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roslovic
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Roslovic
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
35.0% (283)
+10.8%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
On power play, Barzal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
45.4% (447)
37.0% (138)
Away
44.6% (442)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
43.2%
29.5%
P2
44.7%
44.5%
P3
47.2%
31.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |