Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 54.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 57.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 50.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Roslovic
Barzal
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
5
Roslovic
Barzal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
41.9% (3,565)
+3.0%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
43.4% (205)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
42.3% (26)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
44.0% (1,737)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
45.5%
40.7%
P2
44.6%
44.4%
P3
44.9%
41.0%
OT
31.8%
27.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |