Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Barzal 46.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 57.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 63.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Roslovic
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
46.6% (483)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
40.9% (22)
+13.9%
On power play, Roslovic has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
41.6% (442)
49.6% (242)
Away
45.5% (413)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
44.9%
42.4%
P2
43.8%
49.5%
P3
41.8%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |