Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.6% vs Barzal 42.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 58.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 50.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 57.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Roslovic
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roslovic
Barzal
Last 5: Roslovic 3-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Roslovic
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (205)
41.9% (516)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
40.0% (60)
+10.0%
On power play, Roslovic has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Roslovic is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Roslovic shoots right. Barzal is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Barzal
Home
41.8% (79)
46.9% (303)
Away
44.6% (130)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Roslovic
Barzal
P1
44.4%
39.9%
P2
47.0%
45.1%
P3
39.4%
39.9%
Final 5 min
38.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |