Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 77.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 81.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 84.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Roslovic
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Roslovic
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Roslovic
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Roslovic
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
59.2% (370)
-16.3%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
40.9% (44)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
51.7% (58)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stastny
Home
41.6% (442)
57.7% (215)
Away
45.5% (413)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Roslovic
Stastny
P1
44.9%
57.7%
P2
43.8%
54.2%
P3
41.8%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |