Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Stastny 56.3% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 57.8%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 60.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 61.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Roslovic
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Roslovic
Stastny
Last 8: Roslovic 3-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Roslovic
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Roslovic
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
57.5% (412)
-11.7%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
60.0% (65)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
44.4% (9)
-6.2%
On power play, Stastny has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stastny
Home
45.4% (447)
58.3% (276)
Away
44.6% (442)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Roslovic
Stastny
P1
43.2%
63.7%
P2
44.7%
57.3%
P3
47.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |