Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.3%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 88.4%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 91.4%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Roslovic
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Roslovic
Stastny
Last 10: Roslovic 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
7
Roslovic
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
1
Roslovic
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Roslovic
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
54.6% (10,616)
-9.7%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
59.1% (1,994)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
52.9% (1,119)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stastny
Home
44.0% (1,737)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Roslovic
Stastny
P1
45.5%
56.3%
P2
44.6%
55.4%
P3
44.9%
53.5%
OT
31.8%
62.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |