Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 76.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 57.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Roslovic
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Roslovic
Hertl
Last 9: Roslovic 4-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Roslovic
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Roslovic
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
51.6% (1,084)
-8.7%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
61.0% (246)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
44.1% (136)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Hertl
Home
41.6% (442)
55.2% (696)
Away
45.5% (413)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Roslovic
Hertl
P1
44.9%
55.4%
P2
43.8%
54.8%
P3
41.8%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |