Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Evans 50.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 56.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 70.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Kerfoot
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kerfoot
Evans
Last 7: Kerfoot 4-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Kerfoot
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
52.2% (320)
-10.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
100.0% (2)
-54.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
41.0% (83)
-4.4%
On power play, Evans has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Kerfoot is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Kerfoot shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Evans
Home
40.3% (139)
54.3% (223)
Away
41.2% (165)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Kerfoot
Evans
P1
36.8%
53.9%
P2
42.1%
44.9%
P3
44.6%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |