Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.6% vs Evans 49.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 67.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Schwindt
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schwindt
Evans
Last 5: Schwindt 3-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
2
0
Schwindt
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Schwindt
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schwindt
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (31)
51.3% (739)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schwindt is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Schwindt shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Evans
Home
40.0% (5)
52.1% (503)
Away
50.0% (26)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Schwindt
Evans
P1
66.7%
50.5%
P2
46.2%
47.7%
P3
33.3%
51.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |