Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Evans 50.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 67.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Ryan
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ryan
Evans
Last 6: Ryan 4-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
52.2% (320)
+2.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
100.0% (2)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
41.0% (83)
+0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Ryan is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ryan shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Ryan
Evans
Home
50.9% (167)
54.3% (223)
Away
53.5% (127)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Ryan
Evans
P1
44.0%
53.9%
P2
61.7%
44.9%
P3
50.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |