Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Boqvist 39.6% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 76.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 91.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Evans
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Evans
Boqvist
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
0
2
Evans
Boqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Boqvist
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Boqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
36.6% (432)
+14.7%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
50.0% (14)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
75.0% (4)
-32.0%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Boqvist is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Evans
Boqvist
Home
52.1% (503)
36.3% (182)
Away
47.0% (423)
38.1% (268)
By Period
Evans
Boqvist
P1
50.5%
35.2%
P2
47.7%
40.4%
P3
51.3%
36.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |