Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Boqvist 41.6% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 57.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 82.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Evans
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Boqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Boqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
35.0% (140)
+19.4%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
100.0% (1)
-53.9%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Boqvist is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Evans
Boqvist
Home
53.7% (581)
37.6% (93)
Away
50.5% (556)
32.0% (50)
By Period
Evans
Boqvist
P1
54.6%
28.6%
P2
50.0%
34.8%
P3
52.3%
41.0%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |