Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Boqvist 37.9% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 81.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 98.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 96.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Evans
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Evans
Boqvist
Last 10: Evans 10-0 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Boqvist
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Boqvist
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
0
Evans
Boqvist
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
36.8% (1,072)
+17.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
42.1% (38)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
30.8% (26)
+16.3%
On power play, Evans has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Boqvist is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (422).
Home / Away
Evans
Boqvist
Home
53.4% (2,593)
36.9% (539)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
36.7% (597)
By Period
Evans
Boqvist
P1
54.0%
38.3%
P2
50.9%
36.2%
P3
52.0%
36.1%
OT
46.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |