Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Veleno 47.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 60.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Evans
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Evans
Veleno
Last 10: Evans 7-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Veleno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Evans
Veleno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
3
Evans
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
47.4% (2,311)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
51.0% (98)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
36.4% (88)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Evans
Veleno
Home
53.4% (2,593)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
48.6% (1,361)
By Period
Evans
Veleno
P1
54.0%
48.0%
P2
50.9%
47.7%
P3
52.0%
45.9%
OT
46.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |