Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Veleno 47.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 83.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 54.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 64.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Evans
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Evans
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Evans
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Evans
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
47.1% (420)
+7.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
25.0% (8)
+23.1%
On power play, Veleno has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Evans
Veleno
Home
55.1% (541)
47.8% (201)
Away
50.8% (581)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Evans
Veleno
P1
51.8%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
47.9%
P3
53.8%
44.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |