Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Veleno 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 74.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 52.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Evans
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Evans
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Evans
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.4% (531)
+6.0%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
56.3% (64)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
44.4% (27)
+1.7%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Evans
Veleno
Home
53.7% (581)
48.8% (289)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Evans
Veleno
P1
54.6%
46.1%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
52.3%
49.7%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |