Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Veleno 48.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 70.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 55.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Evans
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Evans
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Evans
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
49.1% (438)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
37.5% (16)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
16.7% (6)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Veleno is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Evans
Veleno
Home
52.1% (503)
44.0% (184)
Away
47.0% (423)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Evans
Veleno
P1
50.5%
50.8%
P2
47.7%
50.4%
P3
51.3%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |