Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.5%). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brodzinski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Brodzinski 50.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 66.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Evans
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
0
1
Evans
Brodzinski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.8% (85)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
100.0% (1)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
36.4% (11)
+6.6%
On power play, Brodzinski has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Brodzinski is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Evans
Brodzinski
Home
52.1% (503)
50.0% (50)
Away
47.0% (423)
51.1% (47)
By Period
Evans
Brodzinski
P1
50.5%
44.8%
P2
47.7%
51.4%
P3
51.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |