Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Brodzinski 50.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 78.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 55.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Evans
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Brodzinski
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Brodzinski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Brodzinski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
50.0% (692)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
52.9% (51)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
46.2% (13)
+0.9%
On power play, Evans has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Evans
Brodzinski
Home
53.4% (2,593)
50.7% (353)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
49.6% (403)
By Period
Evans
Brodzinski
P1
54.0%
48.2%
P2
50.9%
48.9%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
46.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |