Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Brodzinski 50.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 75.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Evans
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Evans
Brodzinski
Last 6: Evans 4-2 Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Brodzinski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Brodzinski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.8% (293)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
62.1% (29)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
100.0% (1)
-53.9%
On penalty kill, Brodzinski has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Evans
Brodzinski
Home
53.7% (581)
54.2% (144)
Away
50.5% (556)
46.9% (179)
By Period
Evans
Brodzinski
P1
54.6%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
45.5%
P3
52.3%
55.8%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |