Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Evans
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
47.8% (960)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
47.0% (219)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
60.7% (28)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Evans
Scheifele
Home
49.4% (336)
50.7% (611)
Away
54.8% (314)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Evans
Scheifele
P1
55.8%
51.4%
P2
51.7%
47.3%
P3
48.2%
45.0%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |