Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Evans
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Evans
Scheifele
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Evans
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.1% (1,045)
+6.3%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
48.6% (181)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
44.4% (27)
+1.7%
On power play, Evans has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Evans
Scheifele
Home
53.7% (581)
52.7% (630)
Away
50.5% (556)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Evans
Scheifele
P1
54.6%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
52.3%
47.5%
OT
46.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |