Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 86.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Evans
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Evans
Scheifele
Last 6: Evans 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Evans
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
48.7% (981)
+5.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
53.2% (250)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
43.2% (37)
+4.9%
On power play, Evans has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Evans
Scheifele
Home
55.1% (541)
50.0% (672)
Away
50.8% (581)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Evans
Scheifele
P1
51.8%
51.4%
P2
53.3%
45.1%
P3
53.8%
51.9%
OT
38.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |