Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Domi 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 73.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Evans
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
49.7% (394)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
51.7% (58)
+3.3%
On even strength, Evans has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Domi is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Evans
Domi
Home
53.7% (581)
53.2% (235)
Away
50.5% (556)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Evans
Domi
P1
54.6%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
46.6%
P3
52.3%
49.6%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |