Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Evans
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Evans
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Rasmussen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
50.8% (333)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.7% (28)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
45.9% (37)
-2.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Rasmussen is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Evans
Rasmussen
Home
49.4% (336)
51.4% (212)
Away
54.8% (314)
50.5% (186)
By Period
Evans
Rasmussen
P1
55.8%
54.5%
P2
51.7%
43.4%
P3
48.2%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |