Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Rasmussen 47.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 78.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.4%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 53.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Evans
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Evans
Rasmussen
Last 6: Evans 3-3 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Rasmussen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Evans
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
47.3% (184)
+7.1%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
44.4% (9)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
0.0% (3)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Rasmussen is 33.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Evans
Rasmussen
Home
55.1% (541)
42.3% (104)
Away
50.8% (581)
51.1% (92)
By Period
Evans
Rasmussen
P1
51.8%
47.2%
P2
53.3%
42.9%
P3
53.8%
49.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |