Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Rasmussen 49.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 55.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 90.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 74.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Evans
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Evans
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.1% (108)
+6.3%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
60.0% (5)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
42.9% (7)
+3.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Rasmussen is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Evans
Rasmussen
Home
53.7% (581)
50.8% (63)
Away
50.5% (556)
45.6% (57)
By Period
Evans
Rasmussen
P1
54.6%
48.8%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
52.3%
45.5%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jake Evans |