Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Kadri 47.6% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 91.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 78.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 86.6%
13.4%
86.6%
Evans
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Evans
Kadri
Last 5: Evans 1-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Evans
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
47.4% (821)
+8.8%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
48.8% (86)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
38.5% (13)
+16.9%
On power play, Evans has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Evans
Kadri
Home
55.3% (374)
46.6% (487)
Away
57.1% (317)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Evans
Kadri
P1
58.5%
52.7%
P2
55.7%
50.2%
P3
53.9%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |