Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Kadri 47.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 72.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Evans
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Evans
Kadri
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
6
Evans
Kadri
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
2
Evans
Kadri
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
46.2% (1,005)
+8.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.3% (199)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
26.7% (30)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Evans
Kadri
Home
49.4% (336)
47.4% (641)
Away
54.8% (314)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Evans
Kadri
P1
55.8%
46.9%
P2
51.7%
49.5%
P3
48.2%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |