Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Kadri 49.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 68.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Evans
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Evans
Kadri
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
5
Evans
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
47.7% (975)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
54.0% (226)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
55.6% (9)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Evans
Kadri
Home
53.7% (581)
48.3% (621)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Evans
Kadri
P1
54.6%
48.1%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
52.3%
49.8%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |