Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Kadri 46.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 68.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Evans
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Evans
Kadri
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Evans
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
45.7% (1,295)
+8.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
52.7% (146)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
34.8% (23)
+13.3%
On power play, Evans has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Evans
Kadri
Home
55.1% (541)
46.5% (725)
Away
50.8% (581)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Evans
Kadri
P1
51.8%
47.2%
P2
53.3%
44.9%
P3
53.8%
46.3%
OT
38.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |