Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 60.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 80.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Evans
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Evans
Backstrom
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
47.0% (541)
+4.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.4% (95)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
15.4% (13)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Evans
Backstrom
Home
52.1% (503)
48.5% (328)
Away
47.0% (423)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Evans
Backstrom
P1
50.5%
44.8%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
51.3%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jake Evans |