Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 63.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Evans
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Evans
Backstrom
Last 5: Evans 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Evans
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
51.4% (473)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
39.5% (38)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
33.3% (3)
+10.6%
On power play, Evans has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Evans
Backstrom
Home
49.4% (336)
53.6% (278)
Away
54.8% (314)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Evans
Backstrom
P1
55.8%
51.5%
P2
51.7%
56.0%
P3
48.2%
43.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |