Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 81.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 58.0%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Evans
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Evans
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Evans
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Evans
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
53.2% (77)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
50.0% (6)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
0.0% (1)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Evans
Backstrom
Home
53.7% (581)
54.5% (55)
Away
50.5% (556)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Evans
Backstrom
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
52.9%
P3
52.3%
55.0%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |