Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.6%). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Acciari 50.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 66.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Evans
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Evans
Acciari
Last 6: Evans 4-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
53.1% (147)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
100.0% (2)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
23.5% (17)
+19.5%
On power play, Acciari has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Acciari is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Evans
Acciari
Home
52.1% (503)
66.7% (33)
Away
47.0% (423)
46.6% (133)
By Period
Evans
Acciari
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
51.3%
52.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |