Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Acciari 53.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 51.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Evans
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Evans
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Evans
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
54.5% (532)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
62.5% (8)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
48.8% (86)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Acciari is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Evans
Acciari
Home
49.4% (336)
56.2% (281)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Evans
Acciari
P1
55.8%
53.4%
P2
51.7%
57.1%
P3
48.2%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |