Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Acciari 51.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 60.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 59.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Evans
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Evans
Acciari
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
3
Evans
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
52.8% (3,276)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
48.2% (85)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
47.1% (1,061)
+0.0%
On power play, Evans has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Evans
Acciari
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Evans
Acciari
P1
54.0%
52.2%
P2
50.9%
51.5%
P3
52.0%
50.5%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |