Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bäck shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Bäck 48.7% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Bäck 64.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Evans
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
51.2% (43)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
27.3% (11)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Bäck is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Evans
Bäck
Home
55.3% (374)
71.4% (21)
Away
57.1% (317)
30.3% (33)
By Period
Evans
Bäck
P1
58.5%
45.5%
P2
55.7%
56.5%
P3
53.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
46.3%