Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Bäck 50.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 57.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 71.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Evans
Bäck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Evans
Bäck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Bäck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Bäck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
54.8% (186)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
31.7% (41)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Bäck is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Evans
Bäck
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.4% (103)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
49.2% (124)
By Period
Evans
Bäck
P1
54.0%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
50.0%
P3
52.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |