Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Sundqvist 47.2% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 72.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.4%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 50.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Evans
Sundqvist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
48.8% (43)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
35.3% (17)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
0.0% (3)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Evans
Sundqvist
Home
49.4% (336)
50.0% (34)
Away
54.8% (314)
34.5% (29)
By Period
Evans
Sundqvist
P1
55.8%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
38.9%
P3
48.2%
41.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.9%