Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 72.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 57.7%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 59.5%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Evans
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Evans
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Evans
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
45.0% (500)
+9.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
54.5% (22)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
46.0% (50)
+2.1%
On power play, Evans has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Sundqvist is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Evans
Sundqvist
Home
55.1% (541)
45.5% (255)
Away
50.8% (581)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Evans
Sundqvist
P1
51.8%
40.9%
P2
53.3%
46.9%
P3
53.8%
48.4%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |