Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 57.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 55.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.6%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Evans
Sundqvist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
46.8% (301)
+9.4%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
80.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
43.5% (85)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Evans shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Evans
Sundqvist
Home
55.3% (374)
46.0% (189)
Away
57.1% (317)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Evans
Sundqvist
P1
58.5%
44.7%
P2
55.7%
47.6%
P3
53.9%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%