Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Evans
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Evans
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Evans
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Evans
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
59.2% (370)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
40.9% (44)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
51.7% (58)
-8.7%
On power play, Evans has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Evans
Stastny
Home
52.1% (503)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.0% (423)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Evans
Stastny
P1
50.5%
57.7%
P2
47.7%
54.2%
P3
51.3%
57.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |