Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 69.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Evans
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Evans
Stastny
Last 10: Evans 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
7
Evans
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Evans
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
59.1% (1,994)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Evans
Stastny
Home
53.4% (2,593)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Evans
Stastny
P1
54.0%
56.3%
P2
50.9%
55.4%
P3
52.0%
53.5%
OT
46.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jake Evans |