Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Stastny 56.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Evans
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
57.5% (412)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.0% (65)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
44.4% (9)
-0.5%
On even strength, Stastny has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Evans
Stastny
Home
49.4% (336)
58.3% (276)
Away
54.8% (314)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Evans
Stastny
P1
55.8%
63.7%
P2
51.7%
57.3%
P3
48.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |