Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.1%). Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Evans
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
48.0% (296)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
61.0% (59)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
50.0% (22)
-7.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Evans
Zacha
Home
52.1% (503)
48.9% (223)
Away
47.0% (423)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Evans
Zacha
P1
50.5%
47.9%
P2
47.7%
48.3%
P3
51.3%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |