Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Zacha 54.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 84.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Evans
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Evans
Zacha
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
11
Evans
Zacha
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Evans
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
53.9% (787)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
63.2% (193)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
44.3% (88)
+1.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Evans
Zacha
Home
53.7% (581)
56.7% (538)
Away
50.5% (556)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Evans
Zacha
P1
54.6%
52.6%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
52.3%
56.8%
OT
46.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |