Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Krebs 46.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 70.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.5%
Neutral zone
Krebs 53.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Evans
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Evans
Krebs
Last 6: Evans 3-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Evans
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
47.2% (542)
+7.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
54.2% (24)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
31.3% (48)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Krebs is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Evans
Krebs
Home
53.7% (581)
45.5% (312)
Away
50.5% (556)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Evans
Krebs
P1
54.6%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
42.7%
P3
52.3%
48.6%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |